It’s not a complete Sunday of NFL games since there are two Monday night matchups, but it will still be a busy day with many player prop options to consider.
To help make betting on these props easier, we’ve analyzed each game to highlight some of the best picks.
What counts as “best” is up to the bettor, of course. Here are 10 of our top NFL player prop bets for Week 15. (The following are listed in no particular order, and the odds are from FanDuel unless noted otherwise).
Commanders vs. Saints
Jake Haener, QB, New Orleans Saints O/U 188.5 Passing Yards -113/-113
The Saints’ passing game hasn’t been great, especially after Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed went on injured reserve. Now, Haener, a former fourth-round pick, will start his first NFL game against a decent Washington defense.
The Commanders’ defense will likely take advantage of the inexperienced quarterback. Haener’s most significant action this season came on October 27 against the Chargers, where he completed 9 of 17 passes for 122 yards.
Take the UNDER.
Alvin Kamara, O/U 16.5 Rushing Attempts +100/-130 (BetMGM)
Kamara has had 17 or more rushing attempts in four of his past five games. Since Washington’s defense ranks low in rushing yards allowed per game, there’s a good chance the Saints will give him the ball even more in this game.
Take the OVER.
Patriots vs. Cardinals
Drake Maye, O/U 20.5 Pass Completions -128/-102
Maye has completed at least 22 passes in five of his last seven games. In the two games where he didn’t reach that number, one was cut short due to a concussion, and in the other (against Chicago), the New England defense was so strong that he didn’t need to throw much. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 21 or more passes against the Cardinals in eight straight games.
Take the OVER.
Kyler Murray, O/U 223.5 Passing Yards -120/-110 (DraftKings)
Murray has had some ups and downs this season, but recently he’s been performing well, throwing for 266, 285, 260, and 259 yards in his last four games. With the running game struggling, he has thrown the ball a lot.
Even if the game doesn’t force the Cardinals to play catch-up this week, the Patriots’ defense has been average against the pass, and Murray should still throw enough to go over the total.
Take the OVER.
Ravens vs. Giants
Justice Hill, O/U 15.5 Rushing Yards at -113/-113
Looking at his stats, it seems like the UNDER would be a good choice, as he has gone under this total in seven of his last eight games. With Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson handling most of the rushing duties, that makes sense.
However, if the game turns into a blowout as expected, the Ravens may pull Henry early, giving Hill a chance to play more in the second half.
Take the OVER.
Dolphins vs. Texans
Tua Tagovailoa, O/U 264.5 Passing Yards at -113/-113
Tagovailoa has been on fire lately, throwing for 300-plus yards in his last three games and 288 yards in the one before that. While the Texans have a strong pass defense on paper, they’ve allowed several big performances from quarterbacks recently. Even if Tagovailoa struggles early in the game, he should go over this total as the Dolphins continue to rely on his arm.
Take the OVER.
O/U 1.5 Passing Touchdowns at -128/-102
The Texans have allowed the most passing touchdowns in the league, with 26 given up this season. Tagovailoa has thrown for two or more touchdowns in each of his last four games. It would be surprising if he didn’t hit that mark in this matchup.
Take the OVER.
Tyreek Hill, O/U 71.5 Receiving Yards at -113/-113
Hill’s season hasn’t been outstanding, but he and Tagovailoa have connected well in the past two games. Hill was targeted 23 times and caught 16 passes for 198 yards. While the Texans may try to cover him closely, they don’t have the players to stop him completely. Even if he doesn’t get going early, Hill will go over 71.5 yards.
Take the OVER.
De’Von Achane, O/U 47.5 Rushing Yards at -113/-113
The Texans have a solid run defense, and Achane hasn’t been able to get the ground game going for the Dolphins in recent weeks. He’s gone over 47.5 rushing yards just once in his last five games. With Miami likely to focus on the passing game, it’s unlikely Achane hits the over in this one.
Take the UNDER.
Nico Collins, O/U 88.5 Receiving Yards at -113/-113
Collins has gotten better with each game since returning from injury, including a big 119-yard performance against the Jaguars. C.J. Stroud will likely target him 10 to 15 times, and if Collins catches around half of those, he will go over 88.5 yards.
Take the OVER.
